The Forgotten ‘Doom Loop’ City of America: $205 Million Skyscrapers Now Selling for Less Than $4 Million

By: Georgia | Published: May 04, 2024

In a breathtaking downturn, St. Louis’s real estate market has plummeted, with iconic buildings once valued at hundreds of millions now fetching sums as low as a single family home’s price. 

An example is the 44-story AT&T tower which sold for $3.5 million in recent times, down from its 2006 price of $205 million, a “shocking 98 percent drop in value,” according to the Wall Street Journal.

Ghost Town Gloom: Downtown St. Louis

The heart of St. Louis now beats quietly, its once vibrant streets lined with empty buildings and silent echoes of activity. 

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Aerial photograph showing the top-down view of downtown St. Louis with various buildings, roads, and the distinctive Old Courthouse with its green dome

Source: Wikimedia Commons

The storied Railway Exchange Building, a sign of commerce in better times, now languishes with peeling paint and vacant corridors, a stark monument to the city’s faded glory.

The Silent Streets of St. Louis

Post-pandemic, St. Louis’s downtown has seen the most severe drop in foot traffic of any major U.S. city. 

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A close-up image focusing on a section of downtown St. Louis, showing the detailed facade of a skyscraper with reflective glass and surrounding street activity

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October 2023 data from the University of Toronto’s School of Cities illustrates the decline, comparing visitor numbers from 2019 to those in 2023, signaling a worrying exodus.

St. Louis's Looming Crisis

The collapse is real and measurable—St. Louis’s once-thriving real estate sector is now in dire straits. 

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A night shot of a tall skyscraper in St. Louis, with several floors lit, standing out against the dark night sky

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The Daily Mail reports that a 2022 report from The St. Louis Business Journal indicates that the region’s top 25 office buildings have depreciated nearly 24 percent, wiping $150 million off their collective valuations.

Population Plunge

From its zenith as America’s fourth largest city in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, St. Louis has experienced a dramatic demographic shift. 

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Street-level view of a classic diner in St. Louis with red and white striped awnings and a city bus passing by on the street

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The population has shrunk below 300,000, a level not seen since the 1800s, a significant drop from the nearly 400,000 residents in 1990, as noted by the New York Times.

The Perils of Empty Streets

Empty streets might sound peaceful, but in St. Louis, they’ve become a magnet for danger. 

Panoramic view of the St. Louis skyline featuring the Gateway Arch, the Mississippi River, and various city buildings on a sunny day

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Speeding vehicles have turned these areas into risky zones, highlighted by a tragic 2023 incident where a young pedestrian suffered severe injuries, a stark reminder of the safety challenges facing the ghostly downtown.

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The Turning Point: Macy's Departure

The decline of downtown St. Louis seemed to accelerate with the 2013 closure of Macy’s in the Railway Exchange Building. 

Exterior view of a Macy's store with a large red star logo above the entrance, located in a sunny outdoor shopping plaza with various directional signs and potted plants

Source: Wikimedia Commons

This significant loss marked the beginning of a broader business exodus, leaving behind empty storefronts and a diminished urban vibrancy.

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The Economic Ripples of Business Closures

As major retailers and businesses shut their doors, the impact on St. Louis’s downtown economy has been profound. 

Wide-angle aerial view of downtown St. Louis showcasing a mix of modern and historic architecture, with clear skies above and the city stretching into the horizon

Source: Kawshar Ahmed/Unsplash

The loss of consumer traffic has led to a wave of closures, further deepening the economic slump and diminishing the area’s appeal to both visitors and investors.

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Crime Climbs: Struggles for Remaining Businesses

For those businesses toughing it out in downtown St. Louis, challenges mount as crime rates rise. 

A close-up view of crumpled yellow caution tape with bold black lettering lying on a concrete sidewalk next to a metal pole, with blurred urban background

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Break-ins and vandalism have become more frequent, creating a hostile environment that complicates revitalization efforts, as per a Wall Street Journal report.

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Revitalizing Downtown St. Louis

Revitalization attempts by local authorities and NGOs have met with stiff resistance from the harsh realities of economic decay. 

A serene twilight scene in a park in St. Louis with the city's skyline in the background, featuring lit buildings and a calm sky transitioning from day to night

Source: Kirk Thornton/Unsplash

Despite attractively low rents, these well-meaning initiatives have struggled to take root, reflecting the deep-seated challenges embedded within the city’s social and economic fabric.

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Prohibitive Costs: The Conversion Conundrum

Transforming office space into residential units in St. Louis faces formidable financial obstacles. 

High vantage point photo of downtown St. Louis with a park in the foreground, showcasing the city's architecture and green spaces amidst busy streets

Source: Kawshar Ahmed/Unsplash

The New York Times reported in December 2022 that such conversions could reach costs of up to “$500 per usable square foot,” a steep price that deters many developers from embarking on such projects.

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The Railway Exchange Saga

In a symbolic blow to renewal hopes, the Railway Exchange Building’s redevelopment plan collapsed

Street-level view of the Railway Exchange Building's ornate facade with carved stone details and American flags, with vehicles parked out front on a sunny day

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Announced in 2017, the ambitious project to convert the building into a blend of apartments and retail spaces faltered, leading to a default on the mortgage, encapsulating the broader challenges of reviving St. Louis’s downtown.

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Comparative Real Estate Declines

Cities like Detroit and Cleveland have also faced severe real estate declines, similar to St. Louis. These cities experienced industrial downsizing and population loss, leading to widespread urban decay.

A wide angle shot of a city skyline taken from a low view in the middle of a road. Two large yellow road lines take up the foreground

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By analyzing their recovery strategies, such as Detroit’s investment in technology hubs and Cleveland’s focus on healthcare expansion, St. Louis can identify effective methods and potential pitfalls in urban revitalization.

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Federal Influence on Urban Markets

Federal and state policies play a significant role in urban decay and recovery. In St. Louis, tax incentives aimed at developers and businesses could encourage investment in the downtown area.

Aerial view of the historic Old Courthouse in St. Louis, Missouri, with its distinctive green dome in the foreground, flanked by modern buildings on either side, and the iconic Gateway Arch in the background

Source: Brittney Butler/Unsplash

Similarly, modifications in zoning laws might facilitate the conversion of commercial properties into residential units, thereby addressing both vacant properties and housing shortages.

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Psychological Effects of Urban Decay

The psychological toll on residents living in deteriorating urban environments is worth noting. In St. Louis, the constant presence of abandoned buildings likely contributes to a sense of neglect and despair among the community.

A man sitting on a coach while stressed.

Source: Christian Erfurt/Unsplash

This atmosphere can discourage community bonding and diminish residents’ overall mental health, leading to social fragmentation (via Translational Psychology).

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Environmental Toll of Urban Neglect

Abandoned buildings and vacant lots in St. Louis are not just eyesores; they pose environmental hazards. These sites can lead to increased pollution and waste issues, impacting local wildlife and green spaces.

A worn-out, red brick building with boarded-up windows, graffiti, and an old sign reading "Hotel Lincoln Dining Room" in a dilapidated urban area

Source: Wikimedia Commons

Urban blight also discourages outdoor activity, further disconnecting residents from their environment and community.

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Technological Solutions for Urban Revival

Smart city technologies could provide innovative solutions to urban decay in St. Louis. Implementing IoT devices for monitoring utilities and traffic, and using data analytics to improve city services, could make living in urban centers more appealing.

The outside of a massive office building covered in glass and white metal

Source: Wikipedia Commons

Technology might also help manage urban farms or automate security in less populated areas, fostering a safer, more engaged community environment.

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Historic Preservation and Economic Reality

The Government Building at the 1904 World's Fair held in St. Louis in Forest Park

Source: David R. Francis/Wikipedia

While historic buildings enhance cultural heritage and attract tourism, their maintenance and restoration require substantial financial resources, which can be challenging to justify in a weak market.

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Art and Culture as Catalysts for Urban Renewal

Introducing art and cultural projects can help rejuvenate struggling urban areas like downtown St. Louis.

long-exposure photograph captures the bustling nightlife in front of Philadelphia City Hall

Source: Heidi Kaden/Unsplash

Cities like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia have successfully used arts districts to boost local economies and improve community morale. Such initiatives can attract visitors and residents alike, fostering a vibrant urban life.

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Impact on Local Education Systems

The decline in St. Louis’s urban areas has severely affected local schools. Reduced tax revenues lead to budget cuts, negatively impacting school facilities and resources (via STL Today).

A group of students walking and laughing together in front of a building

Source: RDNE Stock Project/Pexels

Furthermore, the stressful urban environment can affect students’ academic performance and overall well-being, challenging educators to find effective teaching strategies.

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Predicting Commercial Real Estate's Future

The future of commercial real estate in St. Louis seems precarious but not without opportunity. As remote work becomes more common, demand for office space may continue to decline.

A home with a for sale sign out front seen in the daytime.

Source: Pixabay/Pexels

However, this shift presents an opportunity to reimagine these spaces for mixed-use developments, potentially revitalizing the downtown area.

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Urban Farming: A Green Revival Strategy

Transforming vacant lots into urban farms or community gardens could revitalize St. Louis’s empty urban landscapes.

Two individuals are actively engaged in gardening at the Gill Tract Community Farm. One person, wearing a white hat and face mask, is standing and digging with a shovel, while another, wearing a black t-shirt with the word "hbcu" and a colorful face mask

Source: Source: Gill Tract Farm Coalition/Facebook

These green spaces not only improve city aesthetics but also promote community engagement and provide local, sustainable food sources, creating a win-win scenario for urban renewal.

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Public Services in Vacant Urban Centers

Maintaining costly public transportation and infrastructure becomes increasingly challenging as urban centers like St. Louis empty out.

A close-up of many cars on the road stopped during traffic.

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Fewer residents mean fewer resources for essential services, leading to a decline in public safety, transportation, and infrastructure maintenance. Strategic investments and focused attention are required to manage these challenges effectively.

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Exploring Community Land Trusts

Community land trusts could be a viable solution for stabilizing neighborhoods in St. Louis. By separating land ownership from home ownership, these trusts help ensure affordable housing and prevent speculative real estate bubbles.

Two businessmen shaking hands across a table

Source: Freepik

This model could help maintain community stability and prevent future declines in urban areas.

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