National Hurricane Center Issues Alert for New Disturbance Near Florida

By: Julia Mehalko | Last updated: Aug 12, 2024

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has alerted the public that a new disturbance near Florida could form into a tropical depression this weekend.

This latest update about the disturbance further reveals that these storms have days to organize and form into a stronger system before they hit Florida.

A New Hurricane Update

According to the NHC meteorologists, there is currently a large tropical wave over the Lesser Antilles.

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Four palm trees blowing in the wind.

Source: Guilherme Christmann/Pexels

This system is disorganized and has many thunderstorms and showers. However, NHC experts have clarified that this disturbance still has time to form a more coherent system.

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What Is a Tropical Wave?

A tropical wave is an elongated area of low pressure moving east to west across the tropics. The wave is also known as an easterly wave.

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A satellite view of a tropical wave. There is a large white swirling cloud above land.

Source: NASA/Wikimedia Commons

The good weather is to the west of this system. However, clouds and heavy rain are to the east of the system. These waves can then lead to a tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Debby

Forecasters have named it Tropical Storm Debby, the fourth storm of the 2024 season.

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An interactive map that shows the path of tropical storm Debby. It shows what days/times it is set to hit Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas.

Source: @lydawgcha/X

Experts have warned Florida residents that it will be a category 1 hurricane. Residents are advised to take shelter or evacuate the area until it is safe to return.

When This Formation May Happen

Meteorologists have explained that they don’t believe any short-term development will occur as this disturbance moves over parts of the Greater Antilles.

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Dark storm clouds seen in Florida from a car.

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Experts do believe, however, that some level of development could happen once the system moves toward the Bahamas and Cuba, moving west-northwestward.

Trackers Are Closely Watching the Situation

Trackers have been closely watching the situation to determine the damage and path of destruction the hurricane is predicted to take.

An interactive map of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas. It shows where rain is set to fall. Purple is heavy rain, then red, yellow and green means the rain gets lighter the further down the scale it goes.

Source: @VinceWaelti/X

This allows them to raise the alarm should a serious situation arise, giving those affected plenty of time to prepare and ensure they stay out of harm’s way.

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Ideal Weather Conditions

This development could begin in this region, as forecasters have explained that there are ideal weather conditions for this to happen.

A view of ocean waves crashing together.

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As a result, they are now saying that there is a 60% chance that the development of this system will occur sometime in the next seven days.

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A Tropical Depression Could Hit Florida

If this system does develop as forecasters now think it will, then a tropical depression could hit Florida sometime over the weekend, or early next week.

A view of lightning in dark clouds in Florida.

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This depression comes only a few weeks after Hurricane Beryl hit the United States, though the hurricane mainly affected the Gulf Coast and Texas.

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NHC Warns the Public

Because this system could be forming soon, the NHC has alerted the public to be wary of what the next week could bring.

A storm seen in the distance off Miami beach.

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Forecasters have warned residents in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas and parts of the southeastern United States, such as Florida, to pay attention to weather reports for the next few days.

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A State of Emergency

Due to the severity of Tropical Storm Debby, Florida has been put under a state of emergency, and residents have been warned to prepare for what’s to come.

Flooding as a result of tropical storm Debby. The flooding goes part of the way up some trees.

Source: @wmbfnews/X

The NHC was fairly confident that the storm would turn into a tropical depression at the very least and, if not that, a tropical storm or hurricane.

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Preparing for the Storm

When the state of emergency was declared, Florida residents were warned to prepare themselves for the upcoming storm before it hit the area.

A black and white map of the U.S. The colored areas are where tropical storm Debby is set to hit. The purple areas are where the worse hit areas will be, red is the second, yellow is the third and green is the least affected.

Source: @ReedTimmerUSA/X

This included filling cars with gas in case residents needed a quick escape and making sure they had gone to the grocery store so they didn’t run out of food.

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South and East Florida Should Be Prepared

Residents of South, East and Central Florida have been told to be prepared and to monitor weather alerts to determine the best course of action.

Jupiter, which is situated in Southeast Florida. There is an area of land situated in the middle of a body of water, with a bridge connecting it to the mainland.

Source: Chase Baker/Unsplash

The impact isn’t always known a while in advance, and can sometimes only be known for certain a day or two before it hits.

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Southwest Florida Has No Warning

Compared to the rest of the state, Southwest Florida has no warnings for the system and hopes it might miss the area altogether.

An aerial view of Naples, Florida. There are large stretches of road, buildings, and trees.

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The only advice is to be prepared just in case the system does hit. As hurricanes are aplenty at this time of year, it is better to be prepared with supplies and not need them than to need supplies and not be prepared.

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A Difficult Hurricane Season?

This latest tropical depression comes after forecasters have warned Americans that they may experience a very active and dangerous hurricane season this year.

A view of a hurricane as seen on Earth from space.

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Meteorologists have explained that, as the temperatures warm on Earth, the ocean waters warm as well. This could lead to a higher chance of hurricanes.

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Hurricane Beryl Devastated the U.S.

So far, Florida hasn’t had to deal with any major hurricane systems heading its way this year.

Cars drive past downed trees and power lines in Texas after Hurricane Beryl.

Source: Jill Carlson/Wikimedia Commons

Just a few weeks ago, Hurricane Beryl smashed into the Gulf Coast and Texas, leaving parts of the southeast heavily impacted. Houston residents also had to suffer for days without electricity.

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An Upcoming Busy Hurricane Season

While the hurricane season has been relatively quiet — though meteorologists were very worried about how quickly Beryl was forming — experts do say that the next few months may be difficult.

Big waves seen underneath a cloudy, stormy sky.

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From late August to early October, a hyperactive period may see many tropical storm or hurricane formations.

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Ron DeSantis Has Been Blamed

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has been blamed in part for the severity of the hurricanes due to his refusal to talk about or even consider climate change.

Ron DeSantis standing on a stage next to a clear lectern.

Source: Gage Skidmore/Wikimedia Commons

Many scientists have referred to climate change as causing severe weather changes. As Florida is one of the worst-hit areas during hurricane season, its residents expect more from their governor.

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Saharan Dust in Florida

Florida may not have had to deal with any major tropical storms or hurricanes so far because of the Saharan dust that has flown over the Atlantic Ocean.

A view from space of Saharan dust moving across the ocean.

Source: NASA/Wikimedia Commons

This dust arrived in Florida, all the way from Africa, last week. Weather experts have explained that this dust can keep hurricanes from forming as it moves over the ocean.

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Florida’s Dangerous Future

Unfortunately, experts have explained that a tropical storm or a hurricane will likely eventually hit Florida sometime this year — and they’re worried about what could happen.

A hurricane at a beach, with a large, dark, swirling cloud above the sea.

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Florida has struggled to deal with massive flooding situations already this year. A hurricane could ruin parts of Southern Florida.

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August Is the Peak of Hurricane System

Florida’s issue is that August is the peak of hurricane season. This means that more hurricanes are expected to come.

A building that has been destroyed by a hurricane. Most of the building has collapsed, but a U.S. flag remains standing outside it.

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In the right conditions, the systems spotted by the NHC are more likely to turn into tropical depressions, storms and hurricanes.

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Systems Need Favorable Conditions

A system needs favorable weather conditions to fully develop. When traveling west, it first needs to survive hostile conditions.

An aerial view of Earth with a large, white swirling cloud above it. This is a hurricane.

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This enables the system to develop into a storm as long as it manages this and encounters some more favorable conditions.

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A Disturbance After Hurricane Debby

With Hurricane Debby already making its way through Florida and beyond, the NHC has already warned of another disturbance coming.

An aerial view of Earth, with a swirling white cloud on top of it. This is a hurricane.

Source: Pixabay/Pexels

This disturbance has yet to be named but has been spotted around the Windward Islands in the Atlantic Ocean. It is currently carrying disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

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10-30% Chance of Development

The NHC believes this disturbance has a 10% chance of developing within the next 2 days and a 30% chance of developing within the next week.

A tornado swirling amid dark, ominous clouds.

Source: Johannes Plenio/Pexels

While Florida’s residents are barely recovering from Hurricane Debby’s destruction, they are also having to prepare for another storm immediately afterward.

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Flooding in Southern Florida

For example, parts of Southern Florida, such as Miami, were hit with a particularly strong rainstorm earlier this summer, which left streets completely flooded.

A view from ocean waters in Florida during a hurricane.

Source: The Tampa Bay Estuary Program/Unsplash

Residents are now concerned that if a hurricane or tropical storm hits these areas again, it will only further cause flooding and massive complications.

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