Crunching the Numbers
Currently, 49% of voters are rallying behind Trump for the 2024 election, while Biden trails at 43%.
Source: Wikimedia Commons
Trump’s support has remained stable since January, whereas Biden’s has slipped from 45%, showing a tightening race as the election approaches.
More Candidates, More Choices
The poll shows that the election dynamics shift dramatically in a five-candidate scenario, where Biden’s support drops to just 33%.
Source: Wikimedia Commons
Meanwhile, Trump leads with 42%. Newcomers Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West also make notable entries, capturing 16% and 4% of the vote, respectively.
Approval Rating Comparison
According to a new Gallup poll, at this stage in his presidency, Trump boasted an approval rating of 46.8%, substantially higher than Biden’s current figures.
Source: Wikimedia Commons
These Gallup numbers highlight a challenging narrative for Biden, who lags behind not only Trump but also Nixon and Carter at comparable points in their presidencies.
Biden Faces Mounting Disapproval
The CNN/SSRS poll also shows that a whopping 60% of Americans disapprove of Biden’s presidential performance.
Source: POTUS/X
This significant dissatisfaction could spell trouble for his re-election campaign as November approaches.
Trump Maintains Solid Base
Despite the ups and downs of political tides, Trump’s support seems rock solid.
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Consistent findings from CNN/SSRS show him retaining around 49% of voter support in polls from both January 2024 and October 2023, suggesting a strong and unwavering base as he heads into the election stretch.
A Tight Pre-Election Race
The Daily Mail reports that in August 2023 the polls showed Trump and Biden just a hair apart, 47% to 46%.
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This razor-thin margin hints at a fiercely competitive race awaiting us, where every move and message could tip the scales.
Ready for a Rematch
Both veterans of the 2020 showdown, Trump and Biden have secured the delegates needed for their party’s nomination.
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The upcoming election is set to be a rematch that some voters might be dreading according to various polls, yet it’s set to be one of the central narratives of this election cycle.
The Battle Post-Conventions
After this summer’s conventions, the stage will be set for an intense electoral showdown.
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Both Trump and Biden will be gearing up to not just defend their records but to win over those still on the fence, making every campaign stop crucial.
Unprecedented Unpopularity
Biden is navigating historically rough waters, with approval ratings lower than any president has had at this point when seeking re-election.
Source: POTUS/X
His ratings are among the lowest 12% of all presidential terms since 1945, highlighting the uphill battle he faces.
Polls Aren't Set in Stone
With the election still over half a year away, there’s room for shifts in public opinion.
Source: POTUS/X
Biden has historically dismissed poor polling numbers, once remarking in 2022, “I don’t believe the polls.”
The Road to November
As the election draws closer, every poll, debate, and headline becomes crucial.
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Questions remain: Can Biden regain momentum? Will Trump sustain his lead? The race is heating up, promising a dynamic lead-up to Election Day.