The chances of VP Kamala Harris winning the 2024 official political election have soared throughout the course of the last 24 hours
Her odds have risen with prominent bookmakers in the midst of persistent concerns about the age and mental wellness of President Joe Biden.
Increasing Chances
On Tuesday, the chances of Harris winning in November were 16/1 (5.9 percent) with Bet 365 and William Hill, however, these had improved significantly to 7/1 (12.5 percent) and 9/1 (10 percent) by 3 a.m. ET on Wednesday, as per wagering amalgamation site Oddschecker.
Over a similar period, Harris’ chances of triumph expanded from 20/1 (4.8 percent) to 8/1 (11.1 percent), as indicated by Sky Bet, another leading bookie.
Presidential Debate
The discussion about whether Biden is physically and mentally fit enough for an additional four years in the White House increased further after his first presidential debate against Donald Trump on June 27.
During the debate, President Biden seemed to lose his words and train of thought in a few places.
Immigration Policy
At one point, while talking about immigration policy, Biden said: “And I’m going to continue to move it until we get the total ban on…the total initiative relative to what we’re going to do with more Border Patrol and more asylum officers.”
Trump responded, clearly perplexed: “I really don’t know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don’t think he knows what he said either.”
Biden Figures
Oddschecker says that over the last 24 hours, Biden’s chances of winning the presidential election in 2024 have also decreased.
On Tuesday, they remained at 15/4 (21.1 percent) with Bet 365, 7/2 (22.2 percent) with Sky Bet, and 3/1 (25 percent) with William Hill.
President Slips
Be that as it may, they had augmented to 4/1 (20 percent), 5/1 (16.7 percent), and 7/2 (22.2 percent), individually, by early Wednesday morning.
A CNN poll released on Tuesday also found that Harris would win a direct presidential contest against Trump over Biden.
Latest Polls
The survey of 1,045 eligible voters in the U.S. performed from June 28-30 found Trump had an important lead over Biden for the presidency, with 49% support against 43%.
Notwithstanding, against Harris this lead would be sliced by two points, with 47% support for the hypothetical GOP candidate against 45 percent for the VP.
Harris’ Advantage
According to the survey, Harris received significantly more support from independent voters and women than Biden did.
Altogether, 50% of female electors chose Harris over Trump against 44% for Biden, while Harris had the help of 43% of independents against 34% for Biden.
Jumping Ship
The CNN survey likewise found that 75% of registered voters believe that Democrats would have a better possibility of winning the 2024 presidential election with “someone else” as their candidate.
In contrast, only 25% of people surveyed said their best chance for success is with Biden.
Harris’ Defence
Harris supported Biden’s debate performance during a fundraiser at the Brentwood home of moviemaker Rob Reiner, where she conceded the president didn’t have his “finest hour.”
She did contend that if you overlook “style points” the debate showed an unmistakable contrast in character between the two contenders.
Biden Campaign Response
The Biden campaign released internal polling after the debate on June 27 that showed him behind Trump with 45% of the vote, compared to 46% for the Republican challenger.
Biden’s showing during the first presidential debate was derided by Jon Stewart on Monday night’s episode of The Daily Show, with the veteran comedian saying it made liberals want to “jump out of windows.”
Betting Commentary
Sam Rosbottom who is a spokesperson for Betfair said of the debate: “Biden’s disastrous head-to-head with Trump has seen punters rapidly lose faith that the incumbent president has another five years in him.”
He went on to say: “The two men were neck-and-neck back in April; now, despite Trump’s varying legal and financial headaches, he has the punters’ firm backing to be the next U.S. president.”
Another poll in the New York Times showed that 61 percent of those who got his vote in 2020 believe he is now “just too old” for a second term.
