Kamala Harris’ Odds at Becoming President Soar with Bookmakers

By: David Donovan | Published: Jul 03, 2024

The chances of VP Kamala Harris winning the 2024 official political election have soared throughout the course of the last 24 hours

Her odds have risen with prominent bookmakers in the midst of persistent concerns about the age and mental wellness of President Joe Biden.

Increasing Chances

On Tuesday, the chances of Harris winning in November were 16/1 (5.9 percent) with Bet 365 and William Hill, however, these had improved significantly to 7/1 (12.5 percent) and 9/1 (10 percent) by 3 a.m. ET on Wednesday, as per wagering amalgamation site Oddschecker. 

Attorney General Kamala D. Harris meets with San Francisco homeowners facing foreclosure at the Mission Economic Development Agency.

Office of the Attorney General of California

Over a similar period, Harris’ chances of triumph expanded from 20/1 (4.8 percent) to 8/1 (11.1 percent), as indicated by Sky Bet, another leading bookie.


Presidential Debate

The discussion about whether Biden is physically and mentally fit enough for an additional four years in the White House increased further after his first presidential debate against Donald Trump on June 27. 

President Joe Biden signing an act in the oval office surrounded by other people

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During the debate, President Biden seemed to lose his words and train of thought in a few places.

Immigration Policy

At one point, while talking about immigration policy, Biden said: “And I’m going to continue to move it until we get the total ban on…the total initiative relative to what we’re going to do with more Border Patrol and more asylum officers.” 

President Joe Biden speaking at a podium in Wisconsin about canceling student debt

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Trump responded, clearly perplexed: “I really don’t know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don’t think he knows what he said either.”

Biden Figures

Oddschecker says that over the last 24 hours, Biden’s chances of winning the presidential election in 2024 have also decreased. 

Joe Biden at a podium giving a speech about lowering housing costs at a podium

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On Tuesday, they remained at 15/4 (21.1 percent) with Bet 365, 7/2 (22.2 percent) with Sky Bet, and 3/1 (25 percent) with William Hill. 

President Slips

Be that as it may, they had augmented to 4/1 (20 percent), 5/1 (16.7 percent), and 7/2 (22.2 percent), individually, by early Wednesday morning.

Attorney General Kamala Harris visits Peterson Middle School to meet with students, and a Digital Literacy Team made up of administrators, teachers and police officers, to discuss online safety, digital citizenship, and cyberbullying.

Office of the Attorney General of California

A CNN poll released on Tuesday also found that Harris would win a direct presidential contest against Trump over Biden.


Latest Polls

The survey of 1,045 eligible voters in the U.S. performed from June 28-30 found Trump had an important lead over Biden for the presidency, with 49% support against 43%. 

Attorney General Kamala D. Harris Delivers Remarks on 50th Anniversary of the Signing of the Civil Rights Act in Los Angeles on June 30, 2014.

Office of Attorney General Kamala Harris

Notwithstanding, against Harris this lead would be sliced by two points, with 47% support for the hypothetical GOP candidate against 45 percent for the VP.


Harris’ Advantage

According to the survey, Harris received significantly more support from independent voters and women than Biden did. 

Kamala Harris in a crowd taking a photo with Representative John Lewis

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Altogether, 50% of female electors chose Harris over Trump against 44% for Biden, while Harris had the help of 43% of independents against 34% for Biden.


Jumping Ship

The CNN survey likewise found that 75% of registered voters believe that Democrats would have a better possibility of winning the 2024 presidential election with “someone else” as their candidate. 

Kamala Harris with the Congressional Black Caucus in a photo

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In contrast, only 25% of people surveyed said their best chance for success is with Biden.


Harris’ Defence

Harris supported Biden’s debate performance during a fundraiser at the Brentwood home of moviemaker Rob Reiner, where she conceded the president didn’t have his “finest hour.” 

Vice President Kamala Harris greets German Chancellor Angela Merkel Thursday, July 15, 2021, at the Vice President’s Residence in Washington, D.C.

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She did contend that if you overlook “style points” the debate showed an unmistakable contrast in character between the two contenders.


Biden Campaign Response

The Biden campaign released internal polling after the debate on June 27 that showed him behind Trump with 45% of the vote, compared to 46% for the Republican challenger.

Joe Biden making a speech at a podium with people standing behind him

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Biden’s showing during the first presidential debate was derided by Jon Stewart on Monday night’s episode of The Daily Show, with the veteran comedian saying it made liberals want to “jump out of windows.”


Betting Commentary

Sam Rosbottom who is a spokesperson for Betfair said of the debate: “Biden’s disastrous head-to-head with Trump has seen punters rapidly lose faith that the incumbent president has another five years in him.”

Sam Rosbottom standing in front of the Washington Monument

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He went on to say: “The two men were neck-and-neck back in April; now, despite Trump’s varying legal and financial headaches, he has the punters’ firm backing to be the next U.S. president.”

Another poll in the New York Times showed that 61 percent of those who got his vote in 2020 believe he is now “just too old” for a second term.