Biden’s New Housing Plan Dubbed A Sour Deal for Homeowners

By: Georgia | Published: Mar 26, 2024

In response to the challenges many Americans face with high interest rates and rising home values, President Joe Biden, in his State of the Union address, introduced a proposal for a new tax credit aimed at first-time homebuyers. 

This initiative suggests a $10,000 tax credit to aid individuals entering the housing market for the first time, aiming to make homeownership more attainable amidst financial hurdles.

Additional Support for Upgrading Homeowners

President Biden also put forward a proposal for a separate $10,000 tax credit targeted at existing homeowners. This credit is designed for those looking to sell their “starter home” to purchase a larger residence. 

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The intention behind this move is to stimulate the real estate market, particularly benefiting homeowners who are currently reluctant to sell due to the increased mortgage rates compared to the rates they locked in during the pandemic.

Historic Housing Address Recognized

The proposals put forth by President Biden have been met with enthusiasm from affordable housing advocates. 

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David M. Dworkin, CEO of the National Housing Council, lauded Biden’s address as “the most consequential State of the Union address on housing in more than 50 years.” 

Highlighting the Housing Affordability Issue

Nick Luettke, an associate economist at Moody’s, reflected on the significance of housing affordability across various demographics and political divides. 

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He noted the steady housing policy in recent congressional budgets, emphasizing the widespread recognition of housing affordability as a critical issue. Luettke’s comments suggest that the proposed tax credits could address a concern that affects a broad spectrum of Americans.

Challenges with Closing Costs and Mortgage Payments

The proposed $10,000 tax credit, while appearing beneficial, may not fully cover the expenses associated with selling and buying a home. 

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Closing costs, including broker commissions, inspection fees, and loan-origination fees, could consume the entirety of the tax credit. Additionally, the possibility of increased housing payments exceeding the $10,000 mark raises questions about the long-term financial implications for homeowners.

The Impact of Rising Mortgage Rates

CBS News highlighted a stark comparison between current and past mortgage rates, illustrating the financial strain on homeowners. 

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For instance, a decade ago, the average mortgage payment was significantly lower than what it is today due to the lower interest rates at the time. This increase in mortgage rates presents a challenging landscape for those looking to buy or sell homes.

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Financial Considerations for Homeowners

The decision to sell a home and purchase a new one, encouraged by Biden’s tax credit proposal, might not be financially advantageous in the long run. 

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Homeowners could find themselves paying considerably more over time, especially with the increase in mortgage rates. This situation highlights the need for careful financial planning and consideration before making such a significant decision.

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Comparison to Credit-Card Promotions

The National Review draws an analogy between Biden’s housing proposal and credit-card promotions that offer initial benefits followed by higher costs. 

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This comparison is used to caution against the potential financial pitfalls of the proposal. It is a reflection of concerns similar to those raised by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau regarding credit-card promotions.

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Homeowners' Concerns Highlighted

Homeowners like MacKenzie Kipp express skepticism about the financial viability of Biden’s proposed tax credit, especially for those who benefited from historically low mortgage rates. She said “I understand the intention behind Biden’s proposal, but frankly, the math doesn’t add up for me.”

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The increase in interest payments over time, as a result of selling and buying with the current rates, could outweigh the immediate benefits of the $10,000 tax credit.

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The Lock-In Effect and Its Consequences

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has identified a “lock-in” effect, where rising mortgage rates deter homeowners from selling due to the prospect of higher rates on a new mortgage. 

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This effect has tangible impacts on housing mobility, market supply, and home affordability, illustrating the broader implications of current mortgage rate trends on the real estate market.

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Market Dynamics Amidst High Rates and Prices

Despite the challenges posed by high interest rates and home prices, there remains activity in the housing market. A report by the National Association of Realtors, indicates a significant monthly increase in existing-home sales. 

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However, the year-over-year decline in sales suggests that high rates and prices are influencing buyer decisions, highlighting the complex dynamics of the current housing market.

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Congressional Approval Required

For President Biden’s housing proposals to take effect, they must first be passed by Congress. 

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This legislative hurdle poses a significant challenge to the implementation of the tax credits. 

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